Pilipinas Lipad! a foresight on the SMEs' Position in the Philippine Aviation MRO (Maintenance, Repair & Overhaul Industry) / Zyryll Grace M. Balista

Year : 2010

Number of Pages : 46 leaves

Executive Summary

This report discusses the steps employed in conducting a Technological Foresight exercise on the SMEs' Position in the Philippine Aviation MRO Industry. The data and information used in the discussion were gathered from the interviews conducted by the author and also from the literature reviews done on the different topic-related articles collected from the online and printed materials. The discussion includes substantial issues and factors, which are considered to be influencing the growth and development of the local Aviation MRO (Maintenance, Repair and Overhaul) industry. It is also part of this paper's goal to discuss how SME players should strategize given the different scenarios and conditions discussed in this paper in order for them to gain desirable position in the local Aviation MRO industry. The author came up with this foresight report using the scenario planning method. The process is composed of these successive stages : analyzing the environment recognizing, clustering and ranking predictable variables and critical uncertainties making scenario logics and identifying plausible scenarios and finally, assessing scenario coherence and implications. Part I of the scenario development (III-IV) discusses stages one and two of the scenario planning process. The group set their objectives and timeframe and conducted environmental scan of the most popular amusement them parks in the country. The inputs are used in the STEEPS (Scientific and Technological, Economic, Environmental, Political, Social) and SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities and Threats) analysis. Part II of the paper (V-VIII) outlines the different variables and uncertainties, its clusters and ranks. This part corresponds to stages three to six of the process, which lists and characterizes factors that affects and would possibly affect the industry. It is where the author evaluated each variable and uncertainty as to their impact to the industry and its uncertainty of occurring. These are used s the basis in grouping the variables into clusters and ranking them. Part III of the chapter (IX-XII) gives the different plausible scenarios and the grand/major scenario that the author foresees the future of the local Aviation MRO industry. It encapsulates the different inputs in the previous stages to anticipate events that will shape and revolutionize the industry. These highly creative stages (seven to ten) focus on the possible occurences, by logically combining the different clusters, and how they fit to attain the major event.